Bernardo Mueller

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Bernardo Mueller

Dept. of Economics

University of Brasilia

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Publications

You can access my papers on SSRN here.

Journal Articles

Mueller, Bernardo. (2024). The Arc of Antitrust: A Text-based Measure of Antitrust Policy Beliefs and Attitudes. Stanford Computational Antitrust. Vol. 4: 107-152. https://law.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/The-Arc-of-Antitrust.pdf

McGinty EE, Alegria M, Beidas RS, Braithewaite J, Kola L, Leslie DL, Moise N, Mueller B, Pincus HA, Shidhaye R, Simon K, Singer S, Stuart EA, Eisenberg MD (2024). The Lancet Psychiatry Commission on Transforming Mental Health Implementation Research. Lancet Psychiatry, In Press. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-0366(24)00040-3/abstract

Mueller, Bernardo, The Coevolution of Everything, Everywhere, All at Once: Institutions, Culture, and the Great Enrichment (2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4440143.

Mueller, B. (2023). Análise Institucional de Direito e Economia: O Papel Central de Direitos de Propriedade e Custos de Transação. Revista de Estudos Institucionais. Vol. 9(1) https://www.estudosinstitucionais.com/REI/article/view/747/831

Alston, Eric and Alston, Lee J. and Mueller, Bernardo. (2023) The New Institutional Economics and Cliometrics. NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 30924 https://www.nber.org/papers/w30924

also available as:

Alston, Eric and Alston, Lee J. and Mueller, Bernardo. (2023) "The New Institutional Economics and Cliometrics." In (Eds) Diebolt and Haupert, Handbook of Cliometrics. Springer. https://link.springer.com/referencework/10.1007/978-3-642-40458-0

Correia, M.P.R and B. Mueller (2022). Pattern making and pattern breaking: measuring novelty in Brazilian economic research. Revista Brasileira de Inovação. Vol. 21 https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/rbi/article/view/8667409

Mueller, B. (2022). "Recombination for Innovation and Market Impact: Samples and Features in Hip Hop Music." Journal of Evolutionary Economics. Vol. 32 Issue 1.

Mueller, B. (2022). "Property Rights and Violence in Indigenous Land in Brazil" Land Use Policy. Vol. 116, 106063.

Alston, L.J. and B. Mueller. (2022). "NBER Working Paper Series. WP 29991.Property Rights in Historical Political Economy: When do Wedges Wither?" NBER Working Paper Series. WP 29991.

Carneiro, F., B. Mueller and D.O. Cajueiro (2022) "A natural language measure of ideology in the Brazilian Senate." Revista Brasileira de Ciência Política Vol 37.

Nery, P.F. and B. Mueller. (2022). "Co-sponsorship Networks in the Brazilian Congress: An Exploratory Analysis of Caucus Influence." Estudos Econômicos, Vol. 52.1 (Março), 83-111.

Silva, G.L.M. e Mueller, B. (2021). "As Origens Coloniais da Desigualdade Salarial e Discriminação no Mercado de Trabalho no Brasil." Análise Econômica, Vol. 39, n. 80.

Alston, E., L.J. Alston and B. Mueller (2021) "Leadership´and Organizations." NBER Working Paper Series No. 28927.

http://www.nber.org/papers/w28927.

Mueller, B. and F.Y. Roviello. (2021) "Measuring the Impact of the OECD Guidelines for Multinational Companies." IPEA Discussion Paper

Mueller, B. (2021). How Culture Evolves: Measuring Cultural Distance and Variation. SSRN https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3819833.

Mueller, B. (2021). Where’d You Get that Idea? Determinants of Creativity and Impact in Popular Music. EconomiA. Vol. 22: 38-52.

Mueller, B. e F.Y. Roviello. (2021). Uma Avaliação da Participação do Brasil nas Diretrizes da OCDE para Conduta Responsável de Empresas Multinacionais. Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional. No. 29 Jan. - Abr., pg. 69-86. http://dx.doi.org/10.38116/bepi29art4

Mueller, B. 2020. O Brasileiro é WEIRD?. Working Paper.

Mueller. B. 2020. "Why Public Policies Fail: Policymaking under Complexity." EconomiA, Vol. 20 Issue 4.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ.2019.11.002

Mueller, B and João G.A. Leite (2020) How the East Was Lost: Coevolution of Institutions and Culture in the 16th Century Portuguese Empire. SSRN https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3548654

Correa, P., Melo, M.A., Mueller, B. and Pereira, C. (2019) "Political Interference and Regulatory Resilience in Brazil," Regulation and Governance. Vol. 13, Issue 2. 1

Mueller, B. 2019. "The Building Blocks of Creativity and New Ideas." RAUSP Management Journal. Vol. 54 Issue 2.

Ferreira, P.F.A.N., e Mueller, B. 2019. "Economia Política do Meio Ambiente: Identificando Bancadas no Congresso Nacional com Análise de Redes." Working Paper Dept. de Economia , Universidade de Brasília.

Carneiro, F., Cajueiro, D. and Mueller, B. 2019. "A Machine Learning Measure of Ideology in the Brazilian Senate."

Working Paper Dept. de Economia , Universidade de Brasília.

Mueller, B. 2019. "Standing on the Shoulders of the Collective Brain: Testing for the Determinants of Innovation Using Hip Hop Data." Working Paper.

Alston, L. and Mueller, B. 2018. Priests, Conflicts and Property Rights: the Impacts on Tenancy and Land Use in Brazil. Man and the Economy, 5(1), https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/me.2018.5.issue-1/me-2018-0003/me-2018-0003.xml

Mueller, B. 2018. "Crenças, Instituições e as Reformas do Estado no Brasil." Interesse Nacional, v. 11, p. 73-81.

Mueller, B. 2018. "Property Rights Implications for the Brazilian Forest Code." Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural. Vol 52, No. 2.

Mueller, B. 2016. "Beliefs, Institutions and Development on Complex Landscapes." Economic Analysis of Law Review. Vol. 7, Issue 2: 474-495.

Mueller, B. and C. Mueller. 2016. "The Political Economy of the Brazilian Model of Agricultural Development: Institutions versus Sectoral Policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S106297691630059X

Alston, L., M. Melo, B Mueller and C. Pereira. 2016. "Why Countries Transition: The Case of Brazil, 1964-2016." Atlantic Economic Journal, Vol. 44, Issue 2, June: 197-224. DOI 10.1007/s11293-016-9498-2.

Alston, L., M. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2016. "The Good News from Brazil," Foreign Policy, August 9, 2016, http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/09/the-good-news-from-brazil-dilma-rule-of-law/

Alston. L. and B. Mueller. 2016. " A Conceptual Framework for Critical Transitions.” NBER Working Paper Series No. 22144. http://www.nber.org/papers/w22144

Alston, L. and B. Mueller. 2016. "Economic Backwardness and Catching Up: Brazilian Agriculture, 1964-2014." NBER Working Paper Series No. 21988. http://www.nber.org/papers/w21988

Alston, L. and B. Mueller. 2015. "Towards a More Evolutionary Theory of Property Rights." Iowa Law Review, Vol. 100: 101-118.

Ferreira, P.F.A.N. and B. Mueller. 2014. “How Judges Think in the Brazilian Supreme Court: Estimating Ideal Points and Identifying Dimensions,” EconomiA, Vol. 15 Issue 3, Sept-Dec.

Mueller, B., N. Campos and M. Iootty. 2103. “Legal Institutions and Firm Performance,” Economic Analysis of Law Review, Vol. 3, (1).

Alston, L., M.A. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2013. “Changing Social Contracts: Beliefs and Dissipative Inclusion in Brazil,” Journal of Comparative Economics, 41(1) (also published as an NBER Working Paper No. 18588).

Alston, Lee J., Edwyna Harris and Bernardo Mueller. 2012. “The Development of Property Rights on Frontiers: Endowments, Norms and Politics,” The Journal of Economic History, Vol. 72, Issue 3: 741-770.

Alston, L., M.A. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2012. “Changing Social Contracts: Beliefs and Dissipative Inclusion in Brazil,” NBER Working Paper Series No. 18588.

Mueller, B. and C. Mueller. 2012. “The Impact of the 2007–08 Food Price Crisis in a Major Commodity Exporter: Food Prices, Inflation, and Inclusion in Brazil,” UNU-Wider Working Paper Series, WP/095.

Uhr, D. A. P. ; Uhr, J. G. ; Mueller, B. 2012. “Como as ONGs Ambientais Influenciam a Política Ambiental Brasileira?” Revista Brasileira de Economia, V. 66, p. 79-98.

Lins, Bernardo E. e Bernardo Mueller. 2012. “Princípio de Constância Relativa: em Busca de Explicações,” Cadernos Aslegis, jan./abr.: 39-60.

Pereira, C., S. Singh and B. Mueller. 2011. “Political Institutions, Policymaking, and Policy Stability in Latin America,” Latin American Politics and Society, 53(1): 59-89.

Alston, L.J., B. Mueller. 2011. “Brazilian Development: This Time for Real?” CESifo Forum, v. 1, p. 37-46, 2011. www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/forum1-11-focus6.pdf

Jaroletto, M.F. and B. Mueller. 2011. O Procedimento de Escolha dos Ministros do Supremo Tribunal Federal. Economic Analysis of Law Review. Vol. 2 N. 1: 170-187.

Alston, L.J. and B. Mueller. 2010. “Property Rights, Land Conflict and Tenancy in Brazil,” NBER Working Paper Series No. 15771. http://www.nber.org/papers/w15771

Alston, L., M. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2010. The Political Economy of Productivity in Brazil. Inter-American Development Bank.

Alston, L., G. Libecap and B.Mueller. 2010. “Interest Groups, Information Manipulation in the Media, and Public Policy: The Case of the Landless Peasants Movement in Brazil,” NBER Working Paper Series, v. W15865, p. 1-45, 2010.

Mueller, B. 2009. The Fiscal Imperative and the Role of Public Prosecutors in Brazilian Environmental Policy. Law & Policy, v. 32, p. 1-23.

Alston, L.J., E. Harris and B. Mueller. 2009. “De Facto and De Jure Property Rights: Land Settlement and Land Conflict on the Australian, Brazilian and U.S. Frontiers,” NBER Working Paper Series No. 15264.

Alston, L.J. and B. Mueller. 2007. “Legal Reserve Requirements in Brazilian Forests: Path Dependent Evolution of De Facto Legislation,” Revista Economia, Selecta, Brasília (DF), Vol. 7, N. 4.

Correa, P., M.A. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2007. “Regulatory Governance in Brazilian Infrastructure Industries,” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 48 Issue 2.

Alston, Melo, Mueller and Pereira. 2006. Political Institutions, Policymaking Processes and Policy Outcome in Brazil. IADB.

Mueller, B. 2006. “A Evolução Histórica dos Direitos de Propriedade Sobre Terras no Brasil e nos EUA,” História Econômica & História de Empresas, Jan.-Junho, 9(1): 23-54.

Mattos, C.C.A. e B. Mueller. 2006. “Regulando o Regulador: A Proposta do Governo e a ANATEL,” Revista de Economia Contemporânea, Vol. 10, N.3: 517-546.

Alston, L.J. and B. Mueller. 2006. “Pork for Policy: Executive and Legislative Exchange in Brazil,” The Journal of Law Economics and Organization. Vol.22, No.1 Spring.

Faria, R.C., J.M. Nogueira e B. Mueller. 2005. “Políticas de Precificação do Setor de Saneamento Urbano no Brasil: As Evidências do Equilíbrio de Baixo Nível” Estudos Econômicos, Vol. 35, N. 3:481-518.

Alston, L.J. and B. Mueller. 2005. “Review of Law and Employment: Lessons from Latin America and the Caribbean with an Emphais on Brazilian Labor Institutions” Comparative Labor Law & Policy Journal, Vol. 25, Number 2, Winter: 339-348.

Pereira C. and B. Mueller. 2004. “A Theory of Executive Preponderance: The Committee System in the Brazilian Congress,” Journal of Legislative Studies, Vol. 10 No.1, Spring: 9-49.

Pereira, C. and B. Mueller. 2004. “The Cost of Governing: Strategic Behavior of the President and Legislators in Brazil’s Budgetary Process.” Comparative Political Studies, Vol.37, No.7, Sept:781-815. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4730449_The_Cost_of_Governing_Strategic_Behavior_in_Brazil%27s_Budgetary_Process

Brambilla, P.H. e B. Mueller. 2004. “O Impacto da Energia Elétrica no Crescimento Econômico,” Revista Unopar Científica, Maringá, Vol. 5, N. 1:1-23.

Pereira, C. and B. Mueller. 2003. “Partidos Fracos na Arena Eleitoral e Partidos Fortes na Arena Legislativa no Brasil: Conexão Eleitoral no Brasil” Dados. Vol. 45, pg.265-302.

Mueller, B. 2002. “Direitos de Propriedade na Nova Economia das Instituições e em Direito e Economia. ” Revista de Direito Mercantil, Industrial, Econômico e Financeiro. Faculdade de Direito da USP. Departamento Comercial. Vol. 126, abr.-jun., p.112-116.

Mueller, B. e C. Pereira. 2002. “Comportamento estratégico em coalizões presidencialistas: as relações entre Executivo e Legislativo na elaboração do orçamento brasileiro” Dados, Vol. 45, pg.265-302.

Mueller, B. e C. Pereira. 2002. Credibility and the Design of Regulatory Agencies in Brazil, Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 22 n0.3(87) July-Sept: 65-88.

Mueller, B. 2002. “Comment on Estache, Manacorda and Valletti”, Economia – Journal of the LACEA, Vol. 2, No. 1:580-601.

Mueller, B. 2001, Institutions for Commitment in the Brazilian Regulatory System, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 41: 621-643.

Mueller, B. 2001, Regulação, Informação e Política: Uma Resenha da Teoria Política Positiva da Regulação, Revista Brasileira de Economia de Empresas, Vol.1, No 1,:9-29.

Mueller, B. e Pereira, C., 2000. “O Sistema de Comissões do Congresso Brasileiro: Uma Teoria de Preponderância Executiva”, Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais, São Paulo, v. 15, n. 43, p. 45-68.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller B., 2000, “Property Rights to Land and Land Reform: Legal Inconsistencies and The Sources of Violent Conflict in the Brazilian Amazon” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 39:162-188.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller B., 1999, “A Model of Rural Conflict: Violence and Land Reform Policy in Brazil”, Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge:UK, 4:135-160.

Mueller, B. 1998, “The Economic Theory of Regulation: the Case of Agrarian Reform Legislation in Brazil”, Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 52 No1 Jan./Mar, pg:83-110.

Mueller, B., 1997, "Property Rights and the Evolution of a Frontier", Land Economics, Vol 73 Number 1, February, 42-57.

Mueller, B., Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Schneider, R., 1994, "Land Property Rights and Privatization in Brazil", The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol.34., p.261-280.

Books and Chapters

Alston, E., L.J. Alston, B. Mueller, and T. Nonnenmacher. 2018. Institutional and Organizational Analysis: Concepts and Applications. Cambridge University Press.

Mueller, Charles C. and Mueller, Bernardo. 2018. "From Backwardness to Global Agricultural Powerhouse: The Transition of Brazilian Agriculture." In: Vicente Pinilla; Henry Willebald. (Org.). Agricultural Development in the World Periphery. 1ed. London: Springer International Publishing, v. 1, p. 389-412.

Mueller, B. 2018. "The coevolution of institutions and culture" In editors Menard and Shirley A Research Agenda for New Institutional Economics. Cheltenham, Edward Elgar.

Alston, L., M. Melo, B. Mueller, and C. Pereira. 2016. Brazil in Transitions: Beliefs, Leadership and Institutional Change. Princeton University Press. http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10745.html

Alston, L. and B. Mueller. 2016. “Economic Backwardness and Catching Up: Brazilian Agriculture, 1964-2014,” in Editors M. Andersson and T. Axelsson, Diverse Development Paths and Structural Transformation in the Escape from Poverty, Oxford University Press.

Mueller, Bernardo and Charles Mueller. 2014. “The Political Economy of Food Price Policy in Brazil.” In: Per Pinstrup-Andersen. (Org.). Food Price Policy in an Era of Market Instability a Political Economy Analysis. 1ed.Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Alston, Lee, Bernardo Mueller and Edwyna Harris. 2011. “Property Rights, Land Settlement and Land Conflict on Frontiers: Evidence from Australia, Brazil and the U.S.” In: Kenneth Ayotte; Henry E. Smith. (Org.). Research Handbook on the Economics of Property Law. 1ed.New York: Edward Elgar, 2011, v. 1, p. 115-140.

Mueller, Bernardo, Lee Alston, Marcus Melo and Carlos Pereira. 2011. “En el camino hacia un buen gobierno: recuperación de impactos económicos y políticos en Brasil.” In: Carlos Scartascini; Pablo Spiller; Ernesto Stein; Mariano Tommasi. (Org.). El Juego Político en América Latina Cómo se deciden las políticas públicas? Washington: BID, v. 1, p. 76-117.

Vieira, L. M. and Bernardo Mueller. 2010. “Uma Análise Política e Positiva do Processo Orçamentário”. In: Sampaio de Sousa, M.C., Versiani, F., Tannuri Pianto, M.E., Coelho, I. (Org.). Economia Pública Brasileira. 1ed.Brasília: ESAF, v. 1, p. 451-480.

Mueller, Bernardo. 2010. “Brazilian Land Policy Reform.” In: Donald R. Leal. (Org.) The Political Economy of Natural Resource Use: Lessons for Fisheries Reform. Washington: The World Bank, v. 1, p. 175-192.

Mueller Bernardo and Charles Mueller. 2010. “The Evolution of Agriculture and Land Reform in Brazil, 1960 2006.” In: Hadi Salehi Esfahani; Giovanni Facchini; Geoffrey D. Hewings. (Org.). Economic Development in Latin America: Essays in Honor of Werner Baer. 1ed.Hampshare, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, v. 1, p. 67-88.

Mueller, B. and A.R. Oliveira. 2009. “Regulation During the Lula Government” in J.L Love and W. Baer (eds) Brazil Under Lula: Economy, Politics, and Society under the Worker-President.New York, Palgrave Mcmillan, pg:93-114.

Mueller, B. 2009. “Instituições e Salvaguardas no Sistema Regulatório Brasileiro”, in P.I.S. Ramalho (org.), Regulação e Agências Reguladoras: Governança e Análise de Impacto Regulatório, Brasília, ANVISA.

Alston, L.J., M.A. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2008. “On the Road to Good Governance: Recovering from Economic and Political Shocks in Brazil,” Eds. E. Stein, M. Tommasi, C. Scartascini and P. Spiller, Policymaking in Latin America: How Politics Shapes Policies, Harvard University Press.

Mueller, C. and B. Mueller. 2007. “The Evolution of Agriculture and Land Reform in Brazil, 1960 – 2006,” in H. Esfahani, G. Fachinni and G. Hewings forthcoming.

Correa, P., M.A. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2006. Regulatory Governance in Infrastructure Industries: Assessment and Measurement of Brazilian Regulators, Wahsington, The World Bank, Trends and Policy Options Series, N. 3.

Pereira, C. e B. Mueller. 2006. “Regras Eleitorais e Poderes do Presidente no Congresso: Duas Dimensões Complementares da Capacidade Governativa” em G.A.D. Soares e L.R. Renno, Reforma Política: Lições da História Recente, Rio de Janeiro, FGV Editora, pg. 296-315.

Deacon, R. and B. Mueller. 2005. “Political Economy and Natural Resource Use, ” in (eds) R. Lopez, M. Toman, Economic Develpoment & Environmental Sustainability: New Policy Options, The Initiative for Policy Dialogue Series, Oxford University Press.

Zylberstztajn, D., R. Sztajn e B. Mueller. 2005. “Economia dos Direitos de Propriedade,” org., D. Zylberstztajn e R. Sztajn, Direito & Economia: Análise Econômica do Direito e das Organizações, São Paulo, Elsevier.

Alston, L., M. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2005. “Political Institutions, Policymaking Processes and Policy Outcomes in Brazil” Inter-American Development Bank.

Alston, L., M. Melo, B. Mueller and C. Pereira. 2005. “Who decides on Public Expenditures? A Political Economy Analysis of the Budget Process: The Case of Brazil” Inter-American Development Bank. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/254421336_Who_Decides_on_Public_Expenditures_A_Political_Economy_Analysis_of_the_Budget_Process_The_Case_of_Brazil

Alston, L. and B. Mueller. 2004. “Property Rights and the State.” Handbook of New Institutional Economics, forthcoming.

Alston, L. and B. Mueller. 2003 “Property Rights to Land” Oxford Encyclopedia of Economic History.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller B., 2003, “Property Rights to Land and Land Reform: Legal Inconsistencies and the Sources of Violent Conflict in the Brazilian Amazon” in B. Larson (ed) Property rights and environmental problems. Volume 2. International Library of Environmental Economics and Policy. Aldershot, U.K. and Burlington, Vt.: Ashgate, 2003; 453-79. Previously published: 2000.

Mueller, B. and C. Mueller. 2003. “Institutions and Sustainable Development,” in L. Lai and F. Lorne eds. Understanding and Implementing Sustainable Development, Nova Scotia.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller B., 1999, Titles, Conflict and Land Use: The Development of Property Rights and Land Reform on the Brazilian Amazon Frontier, Ann Arbor, The University of Michigan Press.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller B., 1998, “Property Rights and Land Conflict: A Comparison of Settlement of the U.S. Western and Brazilian Amazon Frontiers”, in eds. John Coatsworth and Alan M. Taylor Latin America and the World Economy Since 1800, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller B, 1998, “Un Analisis Economico de la Violencia Rural en Brasil”, in Cárdenas, M. and R. Steiner eds. Corrupcion Crimen y Justicia. Bogotá, Universidad de los Andes.

Alston, L., Libecap, G. and Mueller, B., 1997, "Violence and the Deveolpment of Property Rights to Land in the Brazilian Amazon", in Nye, J.V.C. and Drobak, J.N., editors, Frontiers of the New Institutional Economics, Academic Press, San Diego, pp.145-164.